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Home: Blog--Guide to the Pundits' Guide

BLOG -- Guide to the Pundits' Guide

Saturday, August 22, 2009

Nomination News: Catching Up in Ontario

Three new candidates were nominated in Ontario over the past week, with another due to be selected later this weekend. And there's lots of other candidate news to report on, so let's get going:
  • Ottawa – Vanier, ON - Some 30 area Greens selected Caroline Rioux in a contested nomination meeting this past Thursday August 20, over 2008 candidate Akbar Manoussi, reports Dave Bagler's blog. The riding is currently represented by long-time Liberal M.P. Mauril Bélanger.
  • Leeds – Grenville, ON - Riding Liberals renominated 2008 candidate Marjory Loveys in a contested nomination against Heather Rathgeb Friday August 21. The riding is currently represented by three-term Conservative M.P. Gord Brown, who has obtained 50% of the vote or greater on each of his last three outings.
  • Sudbury, ON - Area Conservatives recently acclaimed new candidate and chartered accountant Fred Slade on August 14, reports NorthernLife.ca. Slade will be facing first-time NDP M.P. Glenn Thibeault who is expected to be renominated by acclamation at a meeting on Thursday September 10, Green Party candidate Fred Twilley who kind of won a contested nomination in June when his opponent withdrew, and a Liberal candidate to be selected on August 27, just prior to the scheduled Liberal national caucus pre-session meeting in Sudbury to be held from August 31 - September 2. I have counted as many as five candidates in the race in a previous post. Evidently the party has high hopes for and is placing a high priority on trying to regain this seat. Meanwhile one candidate who likely won't be running again is 2008 independent candidate David Popescu, who was recently convicted of promoting hatred for things he told a high school audience during an all-candidates' meeting in the last election.
  • Algoma – Manitoulin – Kapuskasing, ON - Liberals will be selecting from amongst four candidates over two days this weekend in this northern Ontario riding currently represented by first-term NDP M.P. Carol Hughes. Running are Joe Chapman, a federal Crown Attorney and former Mayor of Northeastern Manitoulin and the Islands (NEMI), Wawa Chief Accounting Officer Chris Wray, François Cloutier, a provincial public servant in the Ministry of Attorney-General and small business owner, and Marc Dupuis who is a VP of the Nord-Aski Regional Economic Development Corporation and a Hearst city councillor. Results are expected late Sunday night.
In other Ontario candidate news:
  • Stormont – Dundas – South Glengarry, ON - As we reported earlier in the week, Liberal nomination candidate Bernadette Clement is now expected to be acclaimed at a nomination meeting scheduled for this Tuesday August 25, reports the Cornwall Standard Freeholder. The following day on August 26 her NDP opponent, Darlene Jalbert, is also expected to be renominated by acclamation as we reported here earlier this week. The riding is currently represented by three-term Conservative M.P. Guy Lauzon, and the Green Party has already renominated former candidate David Rawnsley, leaving Clement as the only new face in the race amongst the major parties.
  • Northumberland – Quinte West, ON - The three Liberal candidates seeking their party's nomination in this eastern Ontario riding are still awaiting a date to be set for their nomination contest, reports Northumberland Today, although it will be before September 11, the Ontario federal Liberal executive director has told them. Running are businesswoman Kim Rudd, teacher Andrew McFadyen, and Brighton mayor Christine Herrington. The riding is held by two-term Conservative M.P. Rick Norlock. Green candidate Stan Grizzle was one of the first candidates to be nominated by any party anywhere in the country for the 41st general election.
  • Durham, ON - Meantime, Greens in this 905 riding east of Toronto have opened nominations from Friday September 4 to Friday September 11, for a meeting to be held on Thursday September 24. The riding is currently represented by three-term Conservative M.P. Bev Oda.
  • Mississauga South, ON - A reader writes to pass along that long-time Liberal M.P. Paul Szabo has told his riding association that he is raring to go for a fall election, but would "rethink his priorities" if an election were to be held later than that. Szabo was first elected in 1993 when he defeated long-time Progressive Conservative M.P. Don Blenkarn, and he has survived two close calls (i.e., two close margin victories) over his last two Conservative opponents in this riding west of Toronto. 2008 Conservative candidate Hugh Arrison is already running for renomination in this riding, which would likely become an even bigger Conservative target seat should Szabo appear likely to take his retirement from the Commons.
  • Hamilton Centre, ON - A Hamilton Spectator story of the other week lists retired public servant James Byron as the Conservative candidate in this riding, running against the NDP's three-term M.P. Dave Christopherson, however I have not unearthed any other information as to the date of his nomination, or whether it was contested. If you have any contact information for Mr. Byron or that riding association, I wonder if you could get in touch and pass it along so I can verify that data and properly enter the nomination into the Pundits' Guide database and thus include it in the Conservative Party candidate counts.
  • Hamilton East – Stoney Creek, ON - Conservatives in this riding will be looking for another candidate, as Frank Rukavina who has run for them twice here indicated he will not be running again, according to the same Hamilton Spectator story. The riding is currently held by two-term NDP M.P. Wayne Marston. Former Liberal candidate Larry Di Ianni was still not ruling himself out of another run in the Spec story, but has since done so and is currently trying to recruit his own replacement, so far striking out with NDP city councillor Sam Merulla. Liberals viewed Marston as weak last time, but in fact he maintained and even slightly increased his raw vote in spite of declining turnout, with no consensus emerging between his opponents who thus split the remainder of the vote.
  • Welland, ON - Thursday, September 17 is the date now set for a three-way contest for the Conservative nomination in this most south-eastern riding in the province. Running are 2008 candidate Alfred Kiers; a regional councillor from St. Catharines, Bruce Timms; and businesswoman Leanne Villella. The riding was won by first-time NDP M.P. Malcolm Allen in the last election, over long-time former Liberal M.P. John Maloney who has already been renominated by his party to run in the forthcoming election.
  • Elgin – Middlesex – London, ON - The St. Thomas Times-Journal is reporting in a brief that 2008 Liberal candidate Suzanne Van Bommel won't be running again, and so the riding association will apparently be looking for a new candidate. The riding is now held by three-term Conservative M.P. Joe Preston, whose Liberal and NDP opponents almost neatly split in half the vote that did not go to him in the last election.
  • Sarnia – Lambton, ON - A contested Liberal nomination is underway in this far southwestern riding, currently held by two-term Conservative M.P. Pat Davidson, and where the Liberals who held the riding as recently as 2004 under maverick M.P. Roger Gallaway fell to third place with just over half their 2004 vote in 2008 behind the NDP's Andy Bruziewicz. Reprising the nomination fight this time are 2008 Liberal candidate Tim Fugard, and unsuccessful 2008 Liberal nomination candidate and Sarnia city councillor Anne Marie Gillis. Both have been greenlighted by the party, according to the London Free Press, but I haven't come across a confirmed nomination meeting date as yet.
  • York – Simcoe, ON - A reader writes to say that University of Toronto Social Work and Aboriginal Studies prof Cynthia Wesley-Esquimaux is likely to be acclaimed as the Liberal candidate in this riding at their nomination meeting scheduled for Tuesday, August 25. Wesley-Esquimaux is a member of the Chippewa of Georgina Island first nation in the Simcoe area and also previously taught at Laurentian University. The riding is currently represented by three-term Conservative M.P. Peter Van Loan, and Vicki Gunn of the Christian Heritage Party is also already nominated.
  • Dufferin – Caledon, ON - Regular readers of this blog will not have been surprised this past week to read of former Conservative-turned-Liberal M.P. Garth Turner's interest in running for his adopted party's nomination in this riding rather than his old riding of Halton (currently represented by first-time Conservative M.P. Lisa Raitt, and the subject of a recent candidate appointment of Deborah Gillis by Liberal Leader Michael Ignatieff). Instead Turner has filed nomination papers to run against three-term Conservative M.P. David Tilson. 2008 Liberal candidate Rebecca Finch announced at the beginning of the year that she was disillusioned by party politics and would not be running again. Another prospective Liberal candidate, riding president Jeffrey May, had been in the field for several months before the summer break, but his "Candidate Journey" blog has now disappeared and did not publish after June of 2009, perhaps explaining why the Orangeville Citizen was unable to reach him for reaction on Turner's plans. Already renominated is Green Party candidate Ard Van Leeuwen.
  • Parry Sound – Muskoka, ON - Three Liberals have their eye on the nomination to run against two-term Conservative M.P. Tony Clement, reports the Bracebridge Examiner & Gravenhurst Banner. Computer consultant and jazz musician Doug Banwell, a former aide in the Ontario Rae government, lawyer Shawn Pudsey, and former journalist Leigh Beal will face off on Sunday, August 30. Clement first won the riding with the narrowest margin of victory in the 2006 election (by just 28 votes), but went on to be decisively reelected in 2008, serving as the best recent example of how a close margin in one election is not necessarily predictive of an equally close race the next time around.
Other recently scheduled Liberal nomination meetings on tap in Ontario include:
  • Tue 25 Aug - Peterborough, ON - no information immediately available
  • Fri 28 Aug - Simcoe – Grey, ON - again I have no information about any candidates
  • Mon 31 Aug - Ottawa West – Nepean, ON - where former M.P. David Pratt is expected to be acclaimed
Believe it or not, we actually made it to the Manitoba border this time! I'll have to wrap up the Prairies and BC on Sunday. If you have any nomination news, can confirm the nomination details of John Byron, or know the names of the Liberal candidates who will be running in Peterborough or Simcoe – Grey, or find out who won in Algoma – Manitoulin – Kapuskasing tomorrow night, please drop us a line so we can share with Guide readers. Then follow @punditsguide on Twitter for all the latest news.

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