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BLOG -- Guide to the Pundits' Guide

Wednesday, August 5, 2009

First By-Election Window Closes

You'll recall that, further to a motion adopted by the House on the Liberals' last Opposition Day motion in June, the Commons is scheduled to return on Monday, September 14, 2009.

In order to have a by-election held the previous Tuesday, September 8 (the day after Labour Day), it would have had to be called over the weekend.

So, it now seems clear that the three vacant seats won't be filled before Parliament returns, leading us to conclude that the Prime Minister may either be waiting to call them in such a way that the by-election campaigns are on-going during the next confidence vote, or that he is waiting for Hochelaga to become vacant on Wednesday September 16 and call all four at once.

Only New Westminster – Coquitlam, BC has all 4 major party candidates in place, the Liberals selecting theirs yesterday. Cumberland – Colchester – Musquodoboit Valley, NS has its Conservative candidate, a Liberal contest under way, and presumably an NDP announcement designed to coincide with their convention down that way soon, plus the possibly that Green Party Leader Elizabeth May could yet enter the race. No-one is yet nominated in Montmagny – L'Islet – Kamouraska – Rivière-du-Loup, QC. And only the NDP has its candidate in place in Hochelaga, QC (see forthcoming nomination news update).

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3 Comments:

Anonymous Anonymous said...

time of by-elections can be such a tricky thing , i sort of though the first 3 might of been called by now or called soon . but then again maybe no ones in a rush for a couple of by-elections and keep in mind there not cheap either and cost the parties a fair bit of money to run strong campaigns in them . i find it odd though that none of the parties at all have nominated candidates in riviere du loup yet , that sort of doesn't make much sense . i sort of wonder if some of the parties were saving there nomination in the hopes a star candidate would emerge which obvivously hasn't happened .

August 5, 2009 6:05 AM  
Blogger The Pundits' Guide said...

Anon, do you mean Mario Dumont for the Conservatives, by any chance? A lot of people had speculated that they would try to recruit him, but so far while one Conservative name has surfaced (the mayor of La Pocatière), Dumont's has not.

Thanks for your comments.

August 5, 2009 12:41 PM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

for sure mario dumont was one of the people i was thinking about as a potential star candidate there . considering he represented part of the riding at the provincial level he'd definity be able to make a strong run there but i don't really see him entering federal politics in quebec at the moment . it will also be interesting to see what paul crete the former bloc mp does as he was not sucessful in his provincial bid for a seat . although he likely couldn't run in the by-election with credibility after he himself caused it . he could though maybe return during the general election as a candidate if the seat was still vacant .

August 6, 2009 8:48 AM  

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