Last month I ran some statistics examining the relationship between riding-level election spending and the associated share of the vote obtained, for the 1997-2006 general elections.

Now the bluegreenblogger has in added a few more variables and run some correlations on the dataset of Green Party federal candidates in Ontario from 2008 (reviewed here by NDP blogger the Jurist at Accidental Deliberations). Bluegreenblogger examined both vote percent and raw vote as dependent variables, and tested election spending vs. riding association (aka EDA or "electoral district association") assets at the end of the previous calendar year vs. campaign contributions vs. transfers into the riding as independent variables. I've summarized the results below:

Correlations between election finance and riding association development, Green Party federal candidates, Ontario only, 2008 election

Correlation (r)	Raw Vote	Vote Pct
EDA assets as at end of 2007	0.575	0.534
Candidate/EDA election spending	0.751	0.766
Transfers to Candidate/EDA campaign	0.698	0.727
Campaign contributions	0.329	0.277

Source: bluegreenblogger, at "Not An Official Green Party Canada Site"

I always like to report on other efforts to quantify election data, so thanks BGB for this contribution.

Labels: Data Analysis, Election Expenses, Election Finance